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Oct 15, 2009 -- Foreclosures at record level during last three months
Newly released housing data shows that foreclosures were at a record high during the last three months. It seems that the wave of embargoed foreclosures the banks were holding back have finally hit the market.
This new wave of foreclosures is generally among more expensive homes. In the past, it had been at the lower end of the pricing scale. That means both hazard and opportunity is on its way.
Clark thinks we'll see another attempt in Congress to allow workouts, as they do in commercial lending. This effort has failed in the past. But now with the rich losing their homes, there's a greater possibility they'll exert their influence in Washington D.C. and get it passed.
Yet workouts (aka "cramdowns") are not just freebies; there is a market cost to them. That cost comes when lenders have to factor in the risk of losing money on a workout, thereby driving up their mortgage rates. There is no free lunch for anyone!
The market overall still has awhile to go before things get healthy. Look for intensified opportunity to buy foreclosures in 2010. The best opportunities will be in discretionary home purchase categories like vacation homes and second homes.
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What others are saying
Foreclosure numbers are fake
Wake up, people. With states forcing moratoriums and banks worrying about selling in falling markets, the foreclosure market numbers are fake. They go down when moratoriums are in place and go up when they expire. If banks think they won't get enough money, they reduce the number they put on the market, like a cartel.
Foreclosures
With my limited knowledge of finance, business etc. I think I can say that this mess did not happen overnight. It takes a while for these things to happen and as much as I would like to put the blame on Obummer I don't think he started it. I do think he is making it worse.
re:Workouts and GGovt Spending
Just to add to Jayde's comment if I may. The laws that permitted the banks to borrow, trade, sell and gamble with these loans and the laws that weren't there to regulate the banks properly was the root of it all. If capitalism truly worked we wouldn't be in this mess, my undefined word for the economic system we should be in is "limited" capitalism, much too long to explain here.
To Tom:It's a myth WW2 got us out of the depression, the true hero was something called agriculture. Military spending DOES NOT stimulate the economy, and to suggest this as to say continuing and escalating the war in the middle-east is a good thing for our economy, is to be ignorant.
re: Workouts and Govt Spending
No, the government never "forced" a single lending institution to make bad risk loans to people who couldn't pay. Check your facts. That's a preposterous statement and totally wrong.
What they DID say - many years ago - is that you can't redline (deny mortgages) to entire neighborhoods. You actually have to look at an individual borrower's credentials. And you can't use race or some other irrelevant reason to deny a loan. Sounds reasonable to me.
Sadly, the banks and mortgage companies, goaded on by Wall Street types, only recently (in the early 2000's) decided to quit looking at credentials because they could package and resell loans. There was no incentive to screen out bad borrowers. You could pass them off to someone else.
That's where the government screwed up. The laws that permit those kinds of transactions were the root cause of this mess.
Workouts and Govt Spending
Anyone who believes government spending is going to solve our current economic mess or that gov't spending got us out of the great depression should have their academic credentials revoked as they were poorly educated or fraudulently indoctrinated.
Government got us into this mess by forcing lenders to lend money in "disadvantaged" areas even to those who had zero business borrowing. Since lenders were loose with credit, real estate prices zoomed leading consumers to think the "path to profit" was in their home/homes or other real estate.
The lenders figured out how to "lay off" the risk by creating derivatives and the whole thing blew up.
FWIW- World War 2 and the ramped up manufacturing of war supplies got us out of the great depression.
cramdowns
Anyone have first hand experience with naca.com? Thanks in advance.
RE: Obama Plan?
I guess the economy got ruined in the 9 months the new President has been in office? GET REAL!!! (can you say W) In case you didn't know, government spending is how the U.S. got out of the Great Depression!
Funny, people bought new houses with the housing credit, and got foreclosed lol.