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Jul 02, 2009 -- National unemployment average rises to 9.5%

CLARKONOMICS: The national unemployment rate has risen to 9.5% from 9.4%, a move that's actually considered to be good news since the jump is less than expected!

One factor that has been tough is lengthier unemployment. One-third of those who are laid off have been unemployed for half a year or longer, according to one report.

So often when we can't find a job, it's natural to think, "What's wrong with me?" This statistic about serial unemployment could be a positive; it lets us know that there's nothing wrong with us as individuals. We're just caught in a bad economic cycle.

For too long, our economy defied the natural cycles of ups and downs with too many false positives. There was a flood of foreign money that propped things up and created extra cheap borrowing conditions. That allowed companies to borrow on the cheap and overbuild.

So as a result, we'll have to go through a period where it will be harder to find jobs. We have to get the fundamental health of the economy back on track and that will take some time.

Meanwhile, the average wage that people make is going nowhere. Historically, wages rise a few points each year and generally stay ahead of inflation. But right now they're flat. That means you might have to tighten your belt even if you're employed. In addition, your hours may be reduced.

And when will this all be over? The whole cycle is a long term play into 2020, Clark believes. We could have some good cycles over the next decade, but the true rehabilitation will take that long.

Unfortunately, Clark won't be able to answer any questions submitted via commenting. If you have a question, please try posting it to our message boards.

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What others are saying

  • Things are just getting worse
    I agree; real unemployment figures are much higher that the leftist media reports. And it's getting worse in CA with our legislature working overtime trying to shovel more tax hikes on us.

    Don't people understand how business is being killed with this stuff? CA doubled DMV fees recently. Big deal, eh? Well, for commercial drivers, it means that we now must pay about $70,000 just to register one truck. There isn't enough business to support that kind of taxation, and many have parked their entire fleet. And now, they're talking about tripling DMV taxes rather than make needed cuts to social services. Unbelievable. What's next? Raise sales taxes to 10 or 11%? If we're going to run CA into the ground, let's do it right: make it 35%. Yeah, that should just about do it. I just can't WAIT to see what my income tax will is going to be for '09. Credits are history now as it is, and they'll probably start taxing unemployment as income.
  • Son's not working
    My son lives in FL and has not worked since Nov 08. He is about to lose his house. I am on SS an can't help and he can't find work. They told him that his emp has ran out but know he can draw longer since he has not drew for a yr yet. They are giving the people from Brazil free food, Ph and you name it. What is happened to our sys g
  • Real unemployment is 20%+
    www.shadowstats.com
  • Economy
    Wait until Washington fires up Clark Howard's Cap and Trade bill. That legislation is so anti business that it will kill jobs for generations to come. Cap and Trade, along with the horrible gov't spending, will probably turn the USA into an economic midget. We are about the loose the superpower status we have had for several generations. Ponder that on this 4th of July! Between environmentalist whackos (Clark Howard) and leftist media (CNN), this country is toast. And Clark Howard can claim some of the credit that we won't pull out of this 'til 2020. The chickens are coming home to roost.
  • YAY Economy back in 2020
    Clark Year 2020 sounds about right. I'll still be alive, and I can get back into the workforce.
  • So!
    All I can say is the Army put me to work before I found out about about how the world was spinning and about who! Now I close to Retirement an a lot of Younger or Youngster do not want to get dirty anymore and the ones that do, well it's questionable if they have the education to follow a chosen field of endeavor, I wonder if in the future that we might not be able to do anything because everyone wants to sit on their butt's and not do anything. Oh well, so be it, I'm too old to fight the wars now for you and I only hope that my grand-daughters find a man that will try to carry the flag so to speak, maybe they will reinstate the Constitution of this Great Country, and rid themselves of all of these gangster that call themselves Republican or Democrat, their just not that much difference between them, like the blood and the crips, hells angles and the mongols, outlaws and pagans, just gang-banger's who need to be dealt with harshly. Get real about term limit, Vote the S.O.B. to the unemployment line next time around, Lets see who can tell another big lie, and just maybe we might get someone who might do whats right for the people of this great country, instead of lining his buddy's and his pockets with your money.
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