CLARKONOMICS: The newly released Confidence Index (as compiled by the Conference Board) shows that consumer confidence has taken a dive. People who had hoped their own situation was getting better aren't feeling so optimistic any longer.

It means that we're not seeing the "green shoots" popping up we were hearing about back in the spring. People are not feeling the love from the economy.

Is there a valid reason to be more pessimistic? That's a very personal question that Clark can't answer for you.

What he can tell you is that we're in a long haul deal. It will take years to work off the problems of too much house, too much debt, too much car and on and on.

It doesn't mean, however, that we'll always have high unemployment and no economic growth.

Meanwhile, Clark wants to alert you to a window of opportunity that's opening for cheap mortgages and cheap refinances. He expects that rates will drop a quarter-point to half a point over the next week in response to this newfound pessimism.

Mortgage rates are directly related to the 10-year Treasury. Several weeks ago, 10-year Treasury rates were in the 4s. Now the last rate Clark saw was 3.48%. (Editor's note: Rates accurate as of June 30, 2009.)

The opportunity is there, especially for 15-year refis; look to credit unions for 7-year fixed and 10-year fixed loans as an alternative.