advertisement
Looking for something on the site? Search for it here! Also see Clark's Greatest Hits

Jun 25, 2009 -- Recovery in the housing market still to come

A small number of real estate markets around the country have seen activity firm up with multiple bids on houses. This has been especially true in the bubble states where values fell the furthest.

Does that mean recovery is coming in the market at large? Don't bet on it just yet.

Remember that all real estate is local at heart. New numbers Clark saw in The Washington Post indicate that there will be an ongoing buying opportunity for first-timer homebuyers and real estate investors through the end of 2010.

But here's the disturbing news. There are now over 1 million homes in the U.S. in which people are delinquent on their mortgages, but the banks have not foreclosed. The banks may not have enough staff on hand or else they simply don't want the houses.

Our associate producer Joel is stumbling through the home-buying process as a first-timer. He found a shortsale listed at $99,000 and bid $71,000 for it. The bank came back 4 months later and countered by asking for $138,000!

Clark's advice to Joel is to focus on foreclosures instead of shortsales. Also, be persistent if you hit a brick wall in the process. An answer of "no" to your offer should just be seen as a temporary answer.

For investors, the rules are a little different now. You will need to come to the table with cash. At least 50% of your offer should be in cash to increase your likelihood of being taken seriously. Know that buying a distressed condo could have a potentially greater return than a single-family home at this time, which is a very unusual circumstance.

And what if you are one of the 1 million homeowners in trouble yet you want to stay in your home? Seek free or low-cost housing counseling through a local affiliate of the National Foundation for Credit Counseling at NFCC.org.

Unfortunately, Clark won't be able to answer any questions submitted via commenting. If you have a question, please try posting it to our message boards.

Avg. rating: N/A

What others are saying

  • Short Sales
    I recently tried to purchase a short sale as an investment. I offered $160K cash offer on a home listed at $149K. I never received any follow-up on the offer. My agent tried repeatedly to find out what was happening, but the mortgage company would not contact us. No wonder the housing market is a mess.
  • Get ready for the fire sale this Winter
    House prices still have room to fall another 25%, maybe more. The banks have loans on the books that should be foreclosed, but instead they are allowing the mortgagees to make token payments so they don't have to show them as bad loans. How long can they hide that weenie? Commercial real estate is set to roll over and drop like a stone because nobody can refi the IO loans they got three years ago to build those empty strip malls.

    I expect a true panic this Fall when the banks finally have to come clean and admit the extent of their bad loans. The government will have to step in and help clear out the unsold inventory and there will be once in a generation opportunities to buy real estate at bargain prices.
  • FHA loans
    We have our house listed in IL, and anyone attempting to finance with an FHA loan is asking for trouble...our deal fell through when all the paperwork was dragging on forever. After 3 extensions to closing, we told the Buyer we would not grant any more extensions and we were relisting the house. After talking with others, this same problem is happening everywhere! Anyone trying to get FHA loans is entering into a nightmare scenario! Sellers, be cautious when accepting an offer with FHA backing! It would be my guess that the housing numbers being reported might be affected by the sheer volume of people who cannot get their loan applications processed!
  • My Experience in Phoenix
    My wife and just moved to Phoenix a couple weeks ago. We started looking in far North Phoenix and the Anthem areas right away.

    What we found is that the banks were listing the houses way below market value to drive traffic to them. We saw houses listed in the $70 a sq ft range and our offers in the $80 a sq ft being turned down for all cash offers from investors.

    We were making offers of putting down 20% with a credit score just shy of 800 and pre-approved for a mortgage. We eventually got a contract on a house for $79 a square foot
  • Foreclosures
    Are there any "Free Foreclosure Listing" sites out there? All the ones I'v found want to charge you $1 for a 10 day trial and then once you forget to cancel the 10 day trial, they charge you $75! Are there any reliable ones that have current info? How can I find real estate investor group in my area (Indianapolis) to partner with?
  • not quite
    1) The credit will be raised to 15k in 2010 if the bill going around Congress passes, if that doesn't pass the 2nd proposal will be to just extend the 8k credit which is also going around congress.
    2) as rates rise prices fall

    What we are seeing is the Spring buying activity which happens every year, expect it to slow down late summer through fall and winter. Also some states like California are artificially holding back foreclosures by instituting foreclosure moratoriums, when those expire inventory will rise again. Lastly the ARM reset chart from Credite Suisse shows the 2nd wave of resets due in 2011 will force more people underwater and put more homes on the market. This is far from over in many markets.
  • real estate market
    Probably there will be a litle bump up in real estate sales later this year, as people (1) race to cash in on the 8K first-time homebuyer credit expiring in December, and (2) also race to get mortgages with low interest rates, before inflation and interest rates rise due to the infusion of stimiulus money created out of thin air. Once that boomlet in sales is gone, anticipate a hideous market for real estate.
send to a friend  view as printer-friendly  RSS feeds
advertisement
advertisement
THIS WEEK'S POLL
advertisement