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Apr 01, 2009 -- REOs remain the good news in a down housing market

CLARKONOMICS: The news on the housing market continues to be bleak, bleak, bleak. In just one example, the latest numbers from the Case-Shiller index show that home values in Phoenix are down almost 50% from their peak in July 2006.

This is not surprising considering that many Phoenix properties were not owner-occupied, but were bought to be flipped -- a trend that really fueled the overbuilding of houses.

There are similar numbers in Las Vegas and Miami (both down more than 40%) and San Francisco and San Diego (both down 40%). But you've got to realize that the housing stats are skewed by the bubble markets where people were trying to get rich quick on someone else's money.

So where's the good news in all of this? Well, so many sales today are of REOs (real-estate owned properties). That's where you buy directly from the bank after they foreclose on a property and let it go unloved and neglected for several months.

Meanwhile, half of all purchases in February were from first-time homebuyers taking advantage of incredible deals and fantastic financing, according to The Financial Times of London. So they're getting incredibly affordable housing.

In addition, true investors (not speculators) are buying REOs and fixing them up and turning them into rental properties. Clark was recently talking with a real estate investor who bought a 4BR/2B in the suburb of a major metropolitan area for $21,000!

That particular property needed lawn care, new carpeting, new paint, new appliances and a replacement for the HVAC system that had been stolen. The total cost of repairs was just under $15K. That's amazing! You may not find a new home for the cost of a Camry, but there are deals out there. It just requires thorough research.

Finally, a word about Clark's prediction that mortgage rates on 15-year loans will dip into the 3s by May 1. A kind listener recently informed us that at least one homebuilder is offering 3.625% on a 30-year loan.

But because that's a subsidized rate geared to boost sales, Clark isn't counting this one. So the pies may still fly…

Unfortunately, Clark won't be able to answer any questions submitted via commenting. If you have a question, please try posting it to our message boards.

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What others are saying

  • How?
    I've been looking online for a reliable source to find REO's however I just keep finding scam sites. How does one go about finding these bank owned properties?
    Thanks.
  • Researching REO/foreclosures
    "You may not find a new home for the cost of a Camry, but there are deals out there. It just requires thorough research."

    --So exactly how? Where do I start. I am looking to invest some money this way. Our house is paid for, we have no debt, and are ready to make wealth during this down period.
  • A bit early?
    The commercial RE market has just started to implode, and we haven't seen the alt-A, auto loan, and credit card bubbles pop either. Sure the government is forcing mortgage rates down, but IMO this is a trap for fools. Any developed properties you buy in the next 12 months will be over priced compared to the deals next year and in 2011. The only thing I would consider today is farm land and lots being dumped by desperate builders.
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