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Feb 20, 2009 -- How long will financial difficulties last? (Part 2)

Last September, Clark made a prediction that our nation would have to endure financial difficulties for another 7 to 12 years. That figure is now more like 6 to 11 years since we've moved into 2009.

We borrowed too much money, built too much house and bought too many consumer goods. Just look at the number of storage units around the country for proof of the latter. We have so many belongings that we have to rent extra space. We've been the world's finest example of the "shop 'til you drop" mentality.

It's going to be a lengthy process to work off all the excess. Think about it in your own life, for example, with issues of weight control, exercise or substance abuse. You must do things differently to break the cycle. It means many of us will be buying less for some time.

Interestingly, the Federal Reserve has made its own predictions about the economy. They're saying it will be 5 to 6 years before recovery comes.

This is a hard message to deliver because Clark is not saying we'll have constant gray clouds through 2015 or 2020. Nor does it mean we'll see significant unemployment until 2015 or 2020. (The Federal Reserve is predicting increased unemployment through 2011.)

What it does mean is this: Our economy will grow slower over these next years than it might have otherwise. Once we work off the excess, the fundamentals of America are still fine.

Don't be afraid to go out and buy a house or car, just be sure you do it with money down. Clark doesn't want to instill paralysis in his listeners; rather he's looking to strike a note of cautious optimism.

Unfortunately, Clark won't be able to answer any questions submitted via commenting. If you have a question, please try posting it to our message boards.

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What others are saying

  • On the subject of Clark not seeing this sunami coming, I agree. Also, he recently talked about how far a ratio between GDP and total stock market value had become out of line(with stock being severely overpriced prior to this market meltdown). My question is; why didn't he tell us this in 2007 when the market up and ready to implode?
  • Paul
    Mutual Funds??? I have a total lack of confidence in the financial markets, SEC, Rating Agenies, Madoff, Stanford, Subprime Debt...need I say more? Investing in the market is an overallcrap shoot as far as I am concerned. At least wuith Vegas you have transaparency, dont you think?
  • anonymous,
    The tax cuts are not the problem. The tax cuts let people keep more of their pay check. The problem is that government need to stop spending.

    LCG,
    I agree with you that consumers need a spending attitude agjustment. But government needs to do the same. I, like you, have zero debt. But I'd rather invest in mutual funds than go to Vegas.
  • Investing in the stock market
    The stock market is actually an excellent way to invest right now as prices are very low, unless you are trying to make a quick buck. I'm only 30, and I fully expect that in 30 years, the stock market will have gone up and down through several cycles. I'll just make sure my money is in guaranteed investments when I'm getting close to retirement.

    Investing in the stock market 5 years ago was a much worse idea.

    BUY LOW, SELL HIGH
  • Dead On!
    This is dead on...the american consumer is going through an "attitude" adjustment which will hpefully stick. However, not good for the American economya s it is built on the premise of consumerism, effetively the less people spend the worse off the economy is as a whole as compared to the last 15 years. Given this, the economy will grow at a much slower pace over the next few years. What i want to know is given that people aren't spenidng, for those of us that have zero debt, where are you investing your money? Please don't say the stock market as I rather go to Vegas that invest there!
  • predictions
    If you actually spend some time listening to the show Clark almost always adds to his predictions that it is his own personal thing and could very well be hogwash (which is true for all predictions, but few people actually say it) - also most cd's can be cashed out early for a nominal amount say a few months forgone interest.
  • Economy
    I love hearing the republican faithful who are now finally worrying about the deficits after the massive debt their tax cut and spend policies are repsonsible for
  • Economy
    Clark may know a lot about Ponzi schemes, razor blades and travel, but he knows very little about the economy. Case in point: he recently recommended people put their money in 10 year CDs. Thats nuts. After Obama and the Democrats get done with this crazy spending, we are going to see massive inflation. Just about every economist is predicting it. The fact is that 10 years from now you will get paid back in dollars that have the spending power of 17 cents today. Noone should be buying long term fixed rate instruments today.

    Clark ought to consider having guest economists on from-time-to-time. It would greatly improve his show. I hate to think that so many investors actually believe what he is saying. They are going to get burned.
  • LOL. Clark didn't see this economic tsunami coming but now he's telling us when its going to get better! Why should we believe your predictions now when you didn't predict this mess coming?
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