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Feb 17, 2009 -- Financial markets still jittery, but Clark stays the course

CLARKONOMICS: The stock market has been stinking it up even more than usual as of late. In one example, the S&P 500 -- an index of the 500 largest companies in America -- lost money in the fourth quarter of 2008. That's a very rare occurrence.

The stock market is actually a forward-looking indicator. When financial types think the economy is ready for a comeback, stocks will start going up in value long before the rest of the economy follows.

So the news about the S&P is a clear indicator that the financial community is not seeing a light at end of the tunnel. There's no clear path out of the recession yet.

That begs the question: Is Clark an "idiot" for continuing to invest each month and each pay period -- a tactic known as dollar-cost averaging -- in a variety of mutual funds?

Consider this: Economists and academicians alike agree that the really big gains in the market happen on a relatively small number of trading days. So to wait it out on the sidelines with your money in CDs or a money-market account is to risk missing the big run-ups.

Of course, it's all about your age too. The younger you are, the more time you have to let your money grow. That's not the case if you're on retirement's doorstep.

Unfortunately, Clark won't be able to answer any questions submitted via commenting. If you have a question, please try posting it to our message boards.

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What others are saying

  • Gold & Silver "Illiquid"?
    LOL -- in Weimar Germany during their bout with inflation, people used their "liquid" paper money in many ways. Towards the end it was shoveled into stoves and furnaces for cooking and heating because that was its best use. Lucky Germans who had gold and silver were able to emigrate and escape the nightmare that followed the collapse of the economy and the rise of totalitarian rule. Can't happen here?
  • Buying Gold
    Is it wise to sell stocks to purchase gold during this time of inflation?
  • One more...
    SOMEBODY can't read. CLARK DOES NOT ANSWER QUESTIONS POSED IN THE COMMENT SECTION, POSER.
  • Boy, oh boy
    We have got some real winners commenting here!

    SOMEBODY doesn't know we're ALREADY IN a recession. SOMEBODY thinks it will take 5-10 years to make 5%. SOMEBODY thinks we should buy ILLIQUID GOLD AND SILVER & short treasuries and the dollar.
    Doh! People, do NOT get your investing ideas here!
  • economy recession
    So, are you saying that because we lost money in the fourth quarter in the S&P that we are headed for a recession?
  • Logic?
    I don't understand the logic--put $100 in 401(k) today and tomorrow it is worth $95, wait 5-10 years and it will be back to $100.
  • Identity Theft
    I have put security freezes with the 4 credit bureaus after I listened to your program about identity theft. Is there anything else I should do? Is it still necessary to obtain credit reports in order to check their accuracy even though this entails taking off the security freezes in order to obtain the reports? Also, how can I get your newsletter?
    Thank you in advance for your reply to these questions.
    G Selden
  • joseph is an idiot
    short the dollar and treasuries? that is the only safety available...
  • My Take
    "What good is a million dollar portfolio of stocks when a loaf of bread costs $250?"
    Well it would buy you 4000 loaves of bread, that's what good it is. You at least won't starve.
  • Is clark an idiot for continued investing?
    Clark's strategy would be great is the markets were operating normally. In the markets we have now with direct government intervention, hyper-volatility, and daily swings of +/- 5%, buy and hold or dollar cost averaging is foolish. Dollar-denominated investments will be destroyed in the course of the next 18 months as our federal government tries to print its way out of this mess. History has numerous examples where the same tactics were tried and all of them ultimately failed and the currencies became worthless. What good is a million dollar portfolio of stocks when a loaf of bread costs $250?

    Get your investments out of the dollar and into gold, silver, farm land. If you are adventurous and have some money to risk, consider shorting the U.S. dollar, treasury bonds, or the markets in general. After the house of cards collapses, and the dust clears, there will be excellent buying opportunities for people who preserved their wealth.
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