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Jun 19, 2008 -- Are urban areas the new suburbs?

For almost the last 50 years, we Americans have lived according to the "freeway exit" rule: We've driven out as far as necessary until we reach a point where the houses are affordable. This worked well to bring people into the middle class lifestyle for nearly 3 generations.

But right now, Clark believes we are at a time when we're turning back inward. People don't want the long commute or to have to deal with a yard on the weekends. There's a boomerang effect among baby boomers that are now empty nesters. Meanwhile, people who came of age in the last 10 years are becoming "new urbanists."

These new urbanists have a car but feel disconnected from the suburbs and crave the interaction of a city. Of course, today's high gas prices provide a direct economic incentive for new urbanism.

If Clark is right about people turning back inward, that means price appreciation will dwindle in the distant suburbs. In-town neighborhoods will have the greatest increase in value, followed by close-in neighborhoods. In some extreme cases, suburban homes may not even keep up with the inflation rate.

There are also some serious implications for public transportation here. In short, cities like Dallas, Houston, Atlanta and Charlotte have growth corridors that could support more of it. This is separate from the issue of energy.

The price of gas will not necessarily trend upward forever like the headlines proclaim. But even if energy prices decline, Clark still thinks that in the long run you may want to look closer in if you're thinking of real estate as an investment.


Unfortunately, Clark won't be able to answer any questions submitted via commenting. If you have a question, please try posting it to our message boards.

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What others are saying

  • Intown is best
    The realtor posting below is a vested interest who probably sells homes in the suburbs. You only have to walk or drive round intown neighborhoods in Altanta to see that Clark is correct.
  • Urban Myth? - Not
    The realtor below must not get out of the suburbs that often--I'm not sure where they're getting that 'information.' . As someone who lives in a wonderful, lush, intown Atlanta neighborhood, I can tell you firsthand: the houses in our area that were previously owned by older folks are, one by one, being bought up by young families--most with babies or kids. It's great to see. We have access to parks and bike paths, short commutes, excellent schools, the best restaurants, museums and other intown events, and public transport. We love it, and will never live in the 'burbs again.
  • Urban is great if crime is controlled
    If not, it is a dangerous place!
  • Urbanist myth
    Clark, I am a realtor in one of most popular fast growing MSA's in country. There is no rush to Urban living here. A few single 20's look inward for 'investments' and a few live there. A few retired look to downtown but it is a very small number. ALL young parents with children with kids move to the suburbs & their schools Many have the ability to work from home where gas isn't an issue any longer.
    Yes a few will move down town but that isn't the 'American Dream' and won't be in next 30 years.
  • In town appreciation
    I have made great money on 3 homes in a row in over a period of ten years in Brookhaven and Buckhead to the extent that I can buy my next house for cash in Buckhead at close to a million. In the same time friends who bought new builds in the suburbs and had to have the biggest and newest have seen little to no appreciation. Its not just the gas but also the danger of the 400 and wasted time that a comute of an hour each way in Atlanta exposes people to. This article is spot on.
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