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Is the time right to buy foreclosures?

CLARKONOMICS: Think the economic news in the housing sector is abysmal? There just might be a money-making opportunity in it for you. By now you've probably heard that the average price of a house is down 11.5% over last year. Of course, some areas like Charlotte, N.C., actually saw an increase! But the majority of places are seeing values on the wane. Miami and Las Vegas are among the hardest-hit areas. Then there's the news about foreclosures. The rate that properties are being foreclosed upon is not keeping pace with the rate that buyers are snatching them up. There's more supply and less demand. So there may be opportunity here for investors. Banks are over-run with REO properties and the Dare To Be Great believers who got burned are out on the sidelines. The worst-case scenario is that you might buy now and prices could drop even more. But who cares if you're in it for the long haul? Remember Clark's rule of thumb: Buy 20% below fair market value for homes and 30% below fair market value for condos. Just be wary of buying investment property in areas like Michigan and parts of Ohio where economic growth is not happening because of declining population, decreasing job availability, high taxes or strong unions.

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What others are saying

  • Buying Foreclosures
    Clark,
    I am in the market to purchase a new home in Atlanta. How can I get a FREE list of foreclosures in my area? I have seen a few web sites advertising this service but they charge a fee.
    Thanks!
  • Local Issues
    Clark,

    You talk about Charlotte, Las Vegas and Miami, what about the local market? Especially now that Clayton Co. has lost or will lose its accreditation, neighboring counties such as Henry and Fayette are sweating out what's going to happen to our market here, now that Clayton parents may move into neighboring counties. If I sale in 2 years, do you think the market will recover by then? I keep hearing the market will be much better by summers end. I'm not buying it and I may just refinance my 6% mortgage that I still owe 25 years on and try fo ra 4.5% 15 year loan....would that be the right thing to do? But if I sale in 4 or 5 years, will that mattter?
  • BUYING A HOUSE WHICH IS TO BE FORECLOSED ON IN JUNE
    Hello, I live in The Dalles, Oregon and have been looking for a house to buy. The realtor said he has found a house which is going to be foreclosed on in June. I looked at it, it's in a very good area and seemed to be in okay condition, with a few exceptions(needs a new roof, some plumbing/electrical corrections). The realtor said he'd checked w/ the title company and found the balance oweing is $127,000, current owner paid $160,000 in June of 2005. The asking price is $199,000! I told the realtor I should offer maybe something like $140,000-$160,000 max! I was told that would an offer like that would basically go nowhere and the lein holder probably would not want to entertain any counter offers. I find this to be rediculus. My thinking is the lender should want to unload this house.
    Your opinion?
  • Foreclosure Purchases
    Over the past 40 years I have purchased two foreclosures, both from VA. I held each for 10 years and received substantial return.
  • Clarks Golden rule
    Clark could you expand a little on you rule...what is the best way to obtain the FMV of each is this through the apprasial or certain current tax record as a buyer how can I determine it?
  • Forclosures
    I've been thinking about buying an investment property for a while. Thanks for that rule of thumb.

    Delta has advised it's flight attendants not to unionize. Areas with strong unions aren't doing so well right now.
  • city comparisons
    there are a few sites for comparative anaylsis one is www.bestplaces.net but statistics won't show the total picture. I'd also use the local paper for job and property info.
  • investors or landlords?
    greg , he meant jobs less available in union towns. Is he talking about flipping houses or renting them out? Don't tell me he's suggesting going into depressed markets, buying bargain houses, and holding them till better times?!?
  • Investment property
    Have you checked out the "RealWealthNetwork.com" Radio show and website. It's for Real estate invester.
  • Market evaluation
    How do you determine each areas market forcast, such as Charlotte vs Miami for example.
  • Specific Areas Forcast
    How can I determine if I live in another area such as Charlotte? I want to follow my dayghters advice and NOT buy now, and I know market to market advise would change.
  • eco growth
    your notion that unions hurt economic growth is not supported by the facts. The greatest job growth in American history-the 1950s was at a time of the highest union membership ever. You shouldn't spew corporate rhetoric unless you can back it up
  • Housing in Denver
    I'm looking to buy in the Denver area.I have time on my side as I shop. I don't need the house for a couple years. As in most of the country, values are dropping. should I wait or buy in 2008?
  • FSBO
    To save money alot of people are now listing their homes, for sale by owner. I have taken Clark's advice and listed mine on www.keyhomelistings.com THANK YOU Clark for teaching me how to save my money and keep it in my OWN pocket!!!

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This week's poll
NYC health inspectors have been handing out violations to chain restaurants that don't post calorie counts on their menus. What's your take on this?
I believe in what the inspectors are doing. Long live the food police.
This isn't a legitimate function of gov't-paid employees.
I couldn't care less. I'd be eating at home to save money!
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