In the latest session of Clarkonomics, Clark discussed how the housing market may not always be as bad as it seems. Much of the country is in a difficult situation, but it's not a dire one. The states that are in absolutely dire shape (because their bubble markets popped) include California, Nevada, Arizona, Florida, parts of Washington D.C., Michigan, Ohio and Indiana. The rest of the 40 odd states are experiencing sluggish sales with home values sliding slightly and an oversupply of houses. Most people who bought in 2005, 2006 or earlier this year financed 100 percent and are in weirdo exotic loans. That's the true picture of what's going on -- though it makes better headlines to say the sky is falling.

Some people are frightened by a new statistic that says the rate of houses closing once they go to contract has slipped from the traditional 97 percent to a hair under 90 percent. On the one hand, it's a huge change because the number of deals not closing has tripled. But on the other hand, nine out of 10 houses under contract still will go through. One thing Clark has noticed is that there's a window of opportunity right now if you're interested in a new home. New home sellers are sitting on a wounded duck. They're carrying large construction loans and bleeding money every month when deals fall through. They just want to get out with their shirts on. Clark's latest book, Clark Smart Real Estate, talks about why used homes are a better buy than new ones. But right now there's a strong possibility that you might find the opposite is true. Just one caveat about buying new in the bubble market states: It's not clear when the bottom will come and we're probably not there yet. So make sure you plan to own for a minimum of seven years in those markets to make it worth it. Otherwise, don't buy yet -- wait until the deals get better late next year.